BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Air Force

Class: 1 Class Rank: 206 Overall: (16-17) Overall Strength =   30.68
Conference: Mountain West Record: (9-13) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-16)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    W   *  35.43  59  50    1 263 (11-19) Denver                  4.74      4.26                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    L   *  14.55  50  75    1 123 (23- 9) South Dakota          -16.13     -8.87                      
 3 11-10-2025 Away    L      34.64  49  60    1  84 (23-10) Oregon St               3.95    -14.95                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W   *  31.80  67  54    1 290 (11-20) Manhattan               1.12     11.88                      
 5 11-18-2025 Home    W   *  27.59  65  55    1 303 ( 6-25) Portland St            -3.10     13.10                      
 6 11-22-2025 Away    L   *  28.92  43  55    1 118 (22- 8) UC San Diego           -1.76    -10.24                      
 7 11-27-2025 Away    L   *  25.36  71  76    1 243 (13-17) Florida Atlantic       -5.33      0.33                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral W   *  32.94  59  49    1 288 (10-22) Wright St               2.25      7.75                      
 9 12-06-2025 Away    W   *  42.95  58  50    1 185 (16-13) Utah Valley            12.27     -4.27                      
10 12-13-2025 Home    W      18.15  65  64   ZZ  23 ( 0- 2) NM Highlands          -12.54     13.54                      
11 12-17-2025 Away    L * *  14.71  53  65    1 277 ( 6-24) Utah St               -15.97      3.97                      
12 12-20-2025 Home    W * *  42.42  61  45    1 220 (10-21) Nevada                 11.74      4.26                      
13 12-31-2025 Away    L * *  36.24  51  62    1  82 (25- 5) San Diego St            5.56    -16.56                      
14 01-03-2026 Home    L * *  34.21  58  64    1  88 (21-11) UNLV                    3.53     -9.53                      
15 01-07-2026 Home    L * *  24.69  59  70    1 115 (25- 9) Boise St               -5.99     -5.01                      
16 01-10-2026 Away    W * *  41.07  76  57    1 317 ( 4-28) San Jose St            10.39      8.61                      
17 01-14-2026 Home    L * *  40.05  63  65    1  73 (26- 7) Colorado St             9.36    -11.36                      
18 01-17-2026 Away    L * *   7.86  44  67    1 232 (10-20) Wyoming               -22.83     -0.17                      
19 01-21-2026 Away    L * *  14.51  47  78    1  88 (21-11) UNLV                  -16.17    -14.83                      
20 01-24-2026 Home    L * *  19.83  57  74    1 108 (22-10) New Mexico            -10.85     -6.15                      
21 01-31-2026 Away    W * *  42.07  61  56    1 167 (15-18) Fresno St              11.38     -6.38                      
22 02-04-2026 Home    W * *  44.42  73  50    1 277 ( 6-24) Utah St                13.73      9.27                      
23 02-07-2026 Home    W   *  36.55  65  64    1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon            5.87     -4.87                      
24 02-11-2026 Away    L * *  14.72  59  76    1 220 (10-21) Nevada                -15.97     -1.03                      
25 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  32.78  77  61    1 317 ( 4-28) San Jose St             2.09     13.91                      
26 02-18-2026 Away    L * *  32.99  62  70    1 115 (25- 9) Boise St                2.30    -10.30                      
27 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  22.12  53  73    1 108 (22-10) New Mexico             -8.56    -11.44                      
28 02-25-2026 Home    W * *  33.56  69  61 1  1 232 (10-20) Wyoming                 2.88      5.12                      
29 02-28-2026 Away    L * *  33.34  52  66    1  73 (26- 7) Colorado St             2.66    -16.66                      
30 03-03-2026 Home    L * *  24.95  57  74    1  82 (25- 5) San Diego St           -5.73    -11.27                      
31 03-07-2026 Neutral W * *  35.21  60  53    1 232 (10-20) Wyoming                 4.53      2.47                      
32 03-08-2026 Neutral W * *  51.60  83  76    1  82 (25- 5) San Diego St           20.91    -13.91                      
33 03-09-2026 Neutral W * *  40.34  68  66    1 115 (25- 9) Boise St                9.65     -7.65                      
34 03/10/2026 Away      * *                   1  73 (26- 7) Colorado St                     -17.06            
      Averages              30.68  60.4 63.1

Best game:   51.60 = 7 point win over San Diego St
Worst game:   7.86 = 23 point loss to Wyoming
Team stdev:  10.48