BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1 Class Rank: 208 Overall: (16-19) Overall Strength = 30.79
Conference: Mountain West Record: (9-14) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-18)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away W * 35.45 59 50 1 266 (11-19) Denver 4.66 4.34
2 11-07-2025 Away L * 15.51 50 75 1 116 (26-10) South Dakota -15.28 -9.72
3 11-10-2025 Away L 34.51 49 60 1 87 (23-12) Oregon St 3.73 -14.73
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 32.36 67 54 1 284 (11-20) Manhattan 1.58 11.42
5 11-18-2025 Home W * 27.43 65 55 1 309 ( 6-25) Portland St -3.36 13.36
6 11-22-2025 Away L * 28.89 43 55 1 115 (24- 9) UC San Diego -1.89 -10.11
7 11-27-2025 Away L * 25.69 71 76 1 242 (14-18) Florida Atlantic -5.10 0.10
8 11-29-2025 Neutral W * 33.11 59 49 1 291 (10-22) Wright St 2.32 7.68
9 12-06-2025 Away W * 41.84 58 50 1 200 (16-15) Utah Valley 11.05 -3.05
10 12-13-2025 Home W 18.27 65 64 ZZ 23 ( 0- 2) NM Highlands -12.52 13.52
11 12-17-2025 Away L * * 14.83 53 65 1 278 ( 6-24) Utah St -15.96 3.96
12 12-20-2025 Home W * * 42.60 61 45 1 218 (10-21) Nevada 11.81 4.19
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 36.90 51 62 1 79 (27- 6) San Diego St 6.12 -17.12
14 01-03-2026 Home L * * 34.50 58 64 1 88 (21-11) UNLV 3.71 -9.71
15 01-07-2026 Home L * * 24.84 59 70 1 117 (25- 9) Boise St -5.95 -5.05
16 01-10-2026 Away W * * 41.31 76 57 1 318 ( 4-28) San Jose St 10.53 8.47
17 01-14-2026 Home L * * 40.68 63 65 1 70 (27- 8) Colorado St 9.89 -11.89
18 01-17-2026 Away L * * 8.11 44 67 1 233 (10-20) Wyoming -22.68 -0.32
19 01-21-2026 Away L * * 14.87 47 78 1 88 (21-11) UNLV -15.91 -15.09
20 01-24-2026 Home L * * 19.98 57 74 1 109 (22-10) New Mexico -10.81 -6.19
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 42.37 61 56 1 169 (15-18) Fresno St 11.58 -6.58
22 02-04-2026 Home W * * 44.46 73 50 1 278 ( 6-24) Utah St 13.67 9.33
23 02-07-2026 Home W * 36.84 65 64 1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon 6.06 -5.06
24 02-11-2026 Away L * * 14.97 59 76 1 218 (10-21) Nevada -15.81 -1.19
25 02-14-2026 Home W * * 32.94 77 61 1 318 ( 4-28) San Jose St 2.15 13.85
26 02-18-2026 Away L * * 33.21 62 70 1 117 (25- 9) Boise St 2.42 -10.42
27 02-21-2026 Away L * * 22.35 53 73 1 109 (22-10) New Mexico -8.44 -11.56
28 02-25-2026 Home W * * 33.73 69 61 1 1 233 (10-20) Wyoming 2.95 5.05
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 34.05 52 66 1 70 (27- 8) Colorado St 3.26 -17.26
30 03-03-2026 Home L * * 25.53 57 74 1 79 (27- 6) San Diego St -5.26 -11.74
31 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 35.42 60 53 1 233 (10-20) Wyoming 4.64 2.36
32 03-08-2026 Neutral W * * 52.22 83 76 1 79 (27- 6) San Diego St 21.43 -14.43
33 03-09-2026 Neutral W * * 40.52 68 66 1 117 (25- 9) Boise St 9.74 -7.74
34 03-10-2026 Neutral L * * 31.36 42 56 1 70 (27- 8) Colorado St 0.58 -14.58
35 03-19-2026 Home L * 25.86 72 79 1 159 (23-11) N Colorado -4.92 -2.08
Averages 30.79 60.2 63.3
Best game: 52.22 = 7 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 8.11 = 23 point loss to Wyoming
Team stdev: 10.16